Cb february 2014 gubernatorial primary (1)

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    23-Jun-2015

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  • 1. 1 Statewide Registered Voter Sample = 1,003 Margin of Error = +/- 3.1% 29% Cell Phones, 71% Landlines This upcoming August, Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order randomized] will face each other in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, and Neil Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized] will run in the Democratic primary for Governor. In Hawaii, you can only vote in one partys primaryyou must choose between voting in the Democratic Primary, the Republican primary, or another partys primary. What are you most likely to do on primary day in August?DemScreen Democratic GOP Other/None Unsure 64% 19% 7% 10%Likely Democratic Primary Voter Sample = 643 Margin of Error = +/- 3.9% --Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Governor Neil Abercrombie? Abercrombie Positive Negative Unsure 42% 46% 12%--Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of State Senator David Ige? Ige Positive Negative Unsure 31% 13% 56%

2. 2--If you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor between Neil Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized], what would you do? Governor Abercrombie Ige Unsure 37% 37% 26%--How do you feel about Barack Obamas job performance as President? Obama Approve Disapprove Unsure74% 22% 3%Demographics (Likely Democratic Primary Voters) Sex Male Female 47% 53% Age Under 50 Fifty and over26% 74% 3. 3 Race_Ethnicity Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed Refused35% 29% 9% 8% 5% 1% 13% 0%County_CD Oahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2 Hawaii Maui Kauai50% 18% 14% 12% 5%Politics Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure38% 36% 13% 13% 4. 4Party Democrat Republican Independent Unsure75% 7% 16% 2%Education No degree HS graduate College Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc Grad Degree Refused2% 12% 25% 27% 30% 2%Military_Family Yes No Refused61% 37% 3%Union_Family Yes No Refused38% 59% 4%Income Under $50,000 $50,000 - $99,999 $100,000 or more Refused24% 36% 21% 19% 5. 5 Opinion Crosstabs Governor * Abercrombie Crosstabulation % within Abercrombie Abercrombie Governor Abercrombie Ige Unsure TotalPositive Negative Unsure 78% 6% 11% 5% 68% 32% 17% 26% 58% 100% 100% 100%Abercrombie * Governor Crosstabulation % within Governor GovernorAbercrombie Positive Negative Unsure TotalAbercrombie 89% 8% 3% 100%Ige Unsure 6% 28% 85% 47% 10% 25% 100% 100%Governor * Ige Crosstabulation % within Ige Ige Governor Abercrombie Ige Unsure TotalPositive Negative Unsure 20% 64% 40% 72% 19% 22% 9% 18% 38% 100% 100% 100% 6. 6 Ige * Governor Crosstabulation % within Governor GovernorIge TotalPositive Negative UnsureAbercrombie 17% 23% 61% 100%Ige Unsure 60% 10% 7% 9% 33% 81% 100% 100%Abercrombie * Obama Crosstabulation % within Obama Obama Approve Disapprove Unsure Abercrombie Positive 50% 16% 32% Negative 38% 76% 32% Unsure 11% 8% 36% Total 100% 100% 100%Ige * Obama Crosstabulation % within Obama Obama Approve Disapprove Unsure Ige Positive 29% 40% 14% Negative 13% 17% Unsure 58% 43% 86% Total 100% 100% 100%Governor * Obama Crosstabulation % within Obama Obama Approve Disapprove Unsure Governor Abercrombie 44% 15% 23% Ige 31% 62% 14% Unsure 25% 22% 64% Total 100% 100% 100% 7. 7 Demographic CrosstabsAbercrombie * Sex Crosstabulation % within SexAbercrombie TotalPositive Negative UnsureMale 38% 51% 11% 100%Sex Female Refused 46% 42% 100% 11% 100% 100%Abercrombie * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age Fifty Under and 50 over Abercrombie Positive 43% 43% Negative 48% 46% Unsure 9% 11% Total 100% 100%Abercrombie * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Caucasi Japanes Filipin Hawaiia Chines Hispani Other/ an e o n e c Mixed AbercrombiPositive 55% 31% 44% 45% 29% 40% 38% e Negativ 38% 53% 43% 45% 61% 60% 53% e Unsure 7% 16% 13% 10% 11% 0% 9% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 8. 8 Abercrombie * County_CD Crosstabulation % within County_CD County_CD AbercrombiePositive Negative UnsureTotalOahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2 Hawaii Maui Kauai 37% 46% 38% 63% 39% 53% 45% 46% 24% 39% 10% 9% 16% 13% 22% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%Abercrombie * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics AbercrombiePositive Negative UnsureTotalLiberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure 62% 34% 24% 31% 28% 57% 71% 46% 10% 9% 5% 23% 100% 100% 100% 100%Abercrombie * Party Crosstabulation % within Party Party AbercrombiePositive Negative UnsureTotalDemocrat Republican Independent Unsure 49% 22% 21% 62% 38% 76% 70% 31% 12% 2% 8% 8% 100% 100% 100% 100%Abercrombie * Education Crosstabulation % within Education Education No HS College Some/Assoc/ Grad degree graduate Graduate Voc Degree Refused Abercrombie Positive 40% 45% 42% 40% 46% 50% Negative 33% 41% 49% 44% 50% 21% Unsure 27% 15% 9% 15% 4% 29% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 9. 9 Abercrombie * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No Refused Abercrombie Positive 41% 48% 24% Negative 48% 43% 35% Unsure 11% 9% 41% Total 100% 100% 100%Abercrombie * Union_Family Crosstabulation % within Union_Family Union_Family Yes No Refused Abercrombie Positive 33% 51% 29% Negative 58% 38% 62% Unsure 10% 11% 10% Total 100% 100% 100%Abercrombie * Income Crosstabulation % within IncomeAbercrombie TotalPositive Negative UnsureIncome Under $50,000 - $100,000 $50,000 $99,999 or more Refused 44% 45% 46% 36% 39% 49% 50% 45% 17% 6% 5% 19% 100% 100% 100% 100% 10. 10Ige * Sex Crosstabulation % within SexIgePositive Negative UnsureTotalMale 31% 14% 55% 100%Sex Female Refused 31% 50% 13% 50% 56% 100% 100%Ige * Age Crosstabulation % within AgeIgePositive Negative UnsureTotalAge Under Fifty and 50 over 30% 33% 18% 12% 52% 56% 100% 100%Ige * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Caucasia Japanes Hawaiia Chines Hispani n e Filipino n e c Ige Positive 21% 52% 28% 20% 29% 50% Negativ 15% 5% 26% 18% 4% e Unsure 64% 44% 45% 61% 68% 50% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%Other/ Mixed 22% 22% 55% 100%Ige * County_CD Crosstabulation % within County_CD County_CD Ige TotalPositive Negative UnsureOahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2 Hawaii Maui Kauai 41% 34% 17% 13% 11% 12% 14% 15% 18% 9% 48% 52% 68% 68% 80% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 11. 11 Ige * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics IgePositive Negative UnsureTotalLiberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure 28% 35% 42% 21% 16% 12% 14% 9% 56% 53% 43% 70% 100% 100% 100% 100%Ige * Party Crosstabulation % within Party Party IgeDemocrat Republican Independent Unsure 32% 34% 29% 15% 13% 12% 19% 8% 55% 54% 52% 77% 100% 100% 100% 100%Positive Negative UnsureTotalIge * Education Crosstabulation % within Education EducationIge TotalPositive Negative UnsureNo HS College Grad degree graduate Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc Degree Refused 33% 23% 33% 28% 34% 54% 11% 16% 9% 18% 67% 66% 51% 63% 47% 46% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%Ige * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No Refused Ige Positive 31% 31% 31% Negative 16% 10% 6% Unsure 53% 59% 63% Total 100% 100% 100% 12. 12Ige * Union_Family Crosstabulation % within Union_Family Union_Family Yes No Refused Ige Positive 33% 29% 43% Negative 15% 13% 10% Unsure 52% 58% 48% Total 100% 100% 100%Ige * Income Crosstabulation % within IncomeIgePositive Negative UnsureTotalIncome Under $50,000 - $100,000 $50,000 $99,999 or more Refused 21% 30% 40% 37% 12% 13% 21% 8% 67% 57% 39% 55% 100% 100% 100% 100%Governor * Sex Crosstabulation % within SexGovernor TotalAbercrombie Ige UnsureMale 35% 38% 27% 100%Sex Female Refused 39% 37% 50% 24% 50% 100% 100%Governor * Age Crosstabulation % within Age Age Under Fifty and 50 over Governor Abercrombie 38% 38% Ige 31% 40% Unsure 31% 22% Total 100% 100% 13. 13 Governor * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation % within Race_Ethnicity Race_Ethnicity Caucasi Japanes Filipin Hawaiia Chines Hispani Other/ an e o n e c Mixed Governor GovernorAbercrom 49% 24% 38% 41% 26% 40% 40% bie Ige 29% 51% 21% 35% 48% 60% 35% Unsure 23% 26% 40% 24% 26% 0% 25% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%Governor * County_CD Crosstabulation % within County_CD County_CD Governor TotalAbercrombie Ige UnsureOahu_CD1 Oahu_CD2 Hawaii Maui Kauai 33% 40% 31% 58% 24% 45% 34% 34% 23% 24% 22% 27% 34% 18% 53% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 14. 14Governor * Politics Crosstabulation % within Politics Politics GovernorAbercrombie Ige UnsureTotalLiberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure 53% 32% 25% 21% 19% 47% 63% 36% 29% 21% 12% 43% 100% 100% 100% 100%Governor * Party Crosstabulation % within Party Party GovernorAbercrombie Ige UnsureTotalDemocrat Republican Independent Unsure 42% 21% 25% 42% 32% 64% 46% 33% 26% 14% 29% 25% 100% 100% 100% 100%Governor * Education Crosstabulation % within Education Education No HS College Some/Assoc/ Grad degree graduate Graduate Voc Degree Refused Governor Abercrombie 40% 34% 39% 33% 42% 43% Ige 20% 38% 38% 41% 34% 14% Unsure 40% 28% 23% 27% 24% 43% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%Governor * Military_Family Crosstabulation % within Military_Family Military_Family Yes No Refused Governor Abercrombie 37% 41% 24% Ige 40% 32% 29% Unsure 24% 28% 47% Total 100% 100% 100% 15. 15Governor * Union_Family Crosstabulation % within Union_Family Union_Family Yes No Refused Governor Abercrombie 30% 44% 14% Ige 42% 32% 57% Unsure 28% 24% 29% Total 100% 100% 100%Governor * Income Crosstabulation % within IncomeGovernor TotalAbercrombie Ige UnsureIncome Under $50,000 - $100,000 $50,000 $99,999 or more Refused 40% 41% 40% 25% 29% 38% 42% 40% 30% 21% 18% 35% 100% 100% 100% 100%

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